Daniela Schwarzer
In May 2010, the EU could praise itself for its ability to put together a 110 bn € rescue package for Greece in cooperation with the IMF and, only weeks later, for agreeing on a 750 bn € rescue fund for other potentially illiquid Eurozone members. At the time, these steps appeared as an important demonstration of European solidarity, as a signal of the Eurozone’s ability to get its act together although it had no tested crisis management instruments at its disposal, and as a manifestation of strength in the face of financial markets ready to speculate on the bankruptcy of Eurozone member states or even a breaking apart of the currency union.
A year later devastating pictures from all over Europe hit the covers of the newspapers and magazines: people flock to the streets in Greece to demonstrate against austerity measures and structural reforms which they blame on the European Union. Protesters are also out in Lisbon, Portugal, just like in Spain which so far has not requested financial assistance from the EU and the IMF, but which implements a long list of reforms and budgetary cuts in order not to lose further credibility in the financial markets. In France, the Eurozone’s second largest member state after Germany, a right-wing extremist, Marine Le Pen, wants the country to leave the Euro – and roughly a fifth of French voters would chose her if Presidential elections were held tomorrow. In Germany, skepticism towards the single currency and in particular towards the Southern European members of the Eurozone, has grown tremendously since the package for Greece was launched in spring last year.
In June 2011 – just as in spring 2010 – the European Monetary Union finds itself at a crossroads. The choice is once again to provide Greece with credit and guarantees, or to let the country slip into bankruptcy within weeks. This would indeed occur if the so-called Troika, which consists of the European Commission, the European Central Bank und the IMF, refuses to hand out the next 12 bn € tranche of the loan package agreed last year since Greece’s restructuring and consolidation programme is not going far enough.
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